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PURPOSE: Although dalteparin has been shown to be more effective than warfarin in preventing recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) in cancer patients with acute VTE, its cost-effectiveness is uncertain. We constructed a decision analytic model to calculate quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and lifetime costs for treatment with these drugs to compare their cost-effectiveness. METHODS: Using a societal perspective, our model compared two strategies to treat acute VTE in 65-year-old patients with cancer. In the dalteparin strategy, the daily dalteparin dosage was 200 IU/kg during month 1 and 150 IU/kg during months 2 to 6. In the warfarin strategy, warfarin was given for 6 months at a target international normalized ratio of 2.5 and dalteparin was given for the first 5 days at a dosage of 200 IU/kg. Our model incorporated probability estimates and utilities reported in the literature and published cost data. We conducted multiple one-way and probabilistic (Monte-Carlo) sensitivity analyses to assess the effect of varying baseline estimates on cost-effectiveness. RESULTS: The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of dalteparin compared with warfarin was $192,726 per QALY gained. Dalteparin yielded a quality-adjusted life expectancy of 1.270 QALYs at the cost of $13,481. Although the dalteparin strategy achieved a slightly higher incremental quality-adjusted life expectancy than the warfarin strategy (difference of 0.034 QALYs), this small clinical benefit was offset by a substantial cost increment of $6,580. Cost-effectiveness results were sensitive to variation of the overall mortality associated with dalteparin and warfarin and the pharmacy costs for dalteparin. Dalteparin cost <$50,000 per QALY only if the pharmacy costs for dalteparin were <$17 per day (26% of the drug’s 2002 US wholesale price). In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, the warfarin strategy was considered cost-effective in 97% of Monte Carlo iterations and the dalteparin strategy in 3% at a willingness-to-pay ceiling of $50,000 per QALY gained. If the willingness-to-pay ceiling was increased to $100,000 per QALY gained, the warfarin strategy was optimal in 78% of Monte Carlo iterations and the dalteparin strategy was preferred in 22%. CONCLUSIONS: Based on the best available evidence, a 6-month course of dalteparin is slightly more effective than a 6-month course with warfarin. However, because of the high pharmacy costs of dalteparin, this drug is very unfavorable economically compared with warfarin.
See more of Poster Session - Clinical Strategies; Judgment and Decison Making
See more of The 26th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making (October 17-20, 2004)