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Wednesday, October 24, 2007
P4-45

THE COST-EFFECTIVENESS OF A NEURAL TUBE DEFECT RECURRENCE PREVENTION PROGRAM IN SOUTH CAROLINA

Scott D. Grosse, PhD1, Lijing Ouyang, PhD1, Julianne Collins, PhD2, Denise Grosse1, Jane Dean2, and Roger Stevenson2. (1) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, (2) Greenwood Genetics Center, Greenwood, SC

PURPOSE: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of a South Carolina program that tracks women with a pregnancy affected by a neural tube defect (NTD), counsels them, and provides folic acid supplements to reduce the risk of recurrence of an NTD in a subsequent pregnancy. METHODS: The resource costs of NTD recurrence prevention efforts in South Carolina were assessed. Program effectiveness was modeled on the basis of recurrence risk (2-5%) and the effectiveness of folic acid in prevention of recurrent NTDs (85-100%). The frequency of folic acid supplement use among women with a prior NTD-affected pregnancy in the United States is reported to range from 33% to 59%. In South Carolina, the majority of NTD-affected pregnancies are terminated and 31% end in a live birth with spina bifida. The estimated lifetime direct cost of spina bifida ($570,000 in 2003 dollars) incorporates new estimates of medical expenditures for adults with spina bifida and lost earnings of parental caregivers. Gains in Quality-Adjusted Life-Years (QALYs) were calculated three ways, using live births only, live births and stillbirths, and all pregnancy outcomes, respectively. RESULTS: The program is calculated to prevent 0.8 to 1.2 NTDs per year, at an annual cost of $158,000 in 2003 dollars, not including the costs of operating a state birth defects surveillance program. The cost-effectiveness (CE) ratio of NTD recurrence prevention in South Carolina is calculated to vary from $2,600 to $10,000 per QALY on the basis of South Carolina data on recurrence risk (4.8%), effectiveness of folic acid in recurrence prevention (100%), and use of folic acid supplements (85%), and a midpoint estimate from other U.S. states of folic acid supplement use without prevention program (46%). Substituting 3% and 87% as alternate values for the first two parameters, CE ratios are $10,000 to $40,000 per QALY. An influential but uncertain parameter is the frequency of folic acid supplement use among the target population in the absence of a recurrence prevention program, with associated CE ratios ranging from cost-saving to over $50,000 per QALY. CONCLUSIONS: The South Carolina NTD recurrence prevention program has cost-effectiveness ratios comparable with other health care interventions, but policy makers must decide on priorities for resource allocation. Also, research is needed to determine the cost-effectiveness of different strategies for NTD recurrence prevention.