ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Worldwide surveillance data demonstrate an increased rate of anti-tuberculosis drug resistance. Guidelines for latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) do not consider drug resistance patterns when recommending treatment for immigrant children.
OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this research was to decide at what rate of isoniazid (INH) resistance a different regimen than the currently recommended INH for 9 months should be considered.
METHODS: We constructed a decision tree using data from the published literature on latent TB. We studied three regimens considered to be effective for susceptible organisms: a) INH for 9 months, b) rifampin for 6 months, c) INH for 9 months plus rifampin for 6 months. We included a no treatment option. Our base case was a two-year-old child from Russia with a tuberculin skin test reaction of 12mm. We assumed a societal perspective and expressed results as cost and cost per case of TB prevented.
We conducted sensitivity analyses to test the stability of our model.
RESULTS: Rifampin was the least costly treatment regimen for any child arriving from an area with an INH resistance rate of 11% or higher. Combined treatment with INH plus rifampin was the most effective treatment, but would cost >$1M per reactivation case prevented. INH would become the least costly regimen if any of the following thresholds were met: rifampin resistance given INH resistance >82%, rifampin resistance given no INH resistance >9%, cost of rifampin > $47/month, effectiveness of rifampin <63%, effectiveness of INH > 74% and cost of pulmonary TB <$7,661. Other variables did not affect the decision.
CONCLUSION:
Because of high prevalence of INH resistance, a rifampin-containing regimen should be considered for children with LTBI originating from Andorra, Armenia, Azerbaijan, China, C™te d'Ivoire, Ecuador, Estonia, Georgia, India, Kazakstan, Latvia, Lebanon, Lithuania, Republic of Moldova, Mozambique, Perœ, Russia, Ukraine, Uzbekistan and Vietnam.
COST-EFFECTIVENESS OF EXAMINED TB-TREATMENT REGIMENS
Regimen
| Average Cost
| Incremental cost
| Average Effectiveness
| Incremental Effectiveness
| Average Cost Effectiveness
| Incremental Cost Effectiveness
|
Rifampin
| $1,173
|
| 0.94489
|
| $1,241
|
|
INH
| $1,235
| $62
| 0.93503
| -0.00986
| $1,321
| Dominated
|
INH + Rifampin
| $1,364
| $191
| 0.94504
| 0.000145
| $1,443
| $1,313,917
|
No treatment
| $1,413
| $49
| 0.87
| -0.075037
| $1,624
| Dominated
|
ADDIN
See more of: 30th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making (October 19-22, 2008)