Methods: A decision analysis model was made to compare 3 HBV screening strategies in a hypothetical cohort of 60 year old patients with newly-diagnosed Stage II-IV non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma for whom chemotherapy with rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (R-CHOP) is planned. Base-case and sensitivity parameters were extracted from a review of the literature. Strategy 1 involves no routine HBV screening and prophylaxis. Strategy 2 involves no routine HBV screening, but prophylaxis for those known to have chronic HBV. Strategy 3 involves routine HBV screening with a serology test, hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and prophylaxis when identified. All analysis was performed on TreeAge Pro 2008 (
Results: No routine HBV screening, but anti-viral prophylaxis for those known to have chronic HBV (Strategy 2) is preferred based on base-case assumptions. Strategy 1 was dominated by strategy 2. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio between Strategy 2 to Strategy 3 is $270,988 per life-year gained. In a sensitivity analysis, a prevalence of chronic HBV that exceeds 0.8% makes routine HBV screening (Strategy 3) cost-effective. When it exceeds 1.1%, routine screening becomes cost-saving.
Conclusion: Routine screening is not cost-effective in a low prevalence region such as the
See more of: 30th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making (October 19-22, 2008)