Candidate for the Lee B. Lusted Student Prize Competition
Method: The analysis was conducted alongside the COACH study, a randomized controlled trial in which three DMPs were evaluated: care-as-usual (routine follow-up by a cardiologist); basic additional support by a nurse specialized in HF management; intensive additional support by a nurse specialized in HF management. Subpopulation Treatment Effect Pattern Plot (STEPP) methodology was applied to graphically explore the treatment-mortality risk interaction based on which cut-offs for stratifying patients into different risk categories were selected. Cost-effectiveness analysis was performed within each risk category to determine which of the three DMPs would be preferred in each of these categories. Inverse probability weighting was used to estimate the mean quality-adjusted survival time with the utilities derived from the patients’ SF-36 scores. Total cost was estimated by aggregating the costs for various categories. For each category, resource use was multiplied by unit costs to obtain the total cost for this category.
Result: The cut-off was selected as 0.17 for patients’ 18-months predicted all-cause mortality to stratify 346 (33.8%) patients into low risk category and 677 (66.2%) patients into high risk category. For low risk patients, intensive support was found to dominate care-as-usual with €653 (95% CI: €-2,283~€3,636) less cost and 19.5 days (95% CI: 3.1~36.2) longer survival. It was found to dominate basic support with €2,084 (95% CI: €-787~€4,942) less cost and 16.9 days (95% CI: 0~33.4) longer survival. For high risk patients, basic support was found to dominate care-as-usual with €704 (95% CI: €-2,067~€3,393) less cost and 10.7 days (95% CI: -12.2~34.6) longer survival. It was found to dominate intensive support with €3,152 (95% CI: €197~€5,994) less cost and 15.5 days (95% CI: -6.7~39.4) longer survival.
Conclusion: Assigning different DMPs to different risk groups of patients improved outcomes and reduced costs. Applying personalized treatment in daily clinical practice is therefore desired in HF disease management.
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